Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NY Red Bulls2 - 0Toronto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
| 39.71% | 26.54% | 33.75% |
| Both teams to score 52.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% | 74.37% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.08% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.42% | 65.57% |
| Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls 39.7%
Toronto 33.75%
Draw 26.54%
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.75% |
How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Toronto
New York Red Bulls
80.0%Draw
20.0%Toronto
0.0%5
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 18
Toronto
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Gameweek 46
NY Red Bulls
P-P
Toronto
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 9
Toronto
P-P
NY Red Bulls
Form Guide
