Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
49.56% | 24.37% | 26.07% |
Both teams to score 54.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.77% | 47.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.54% | 69.46% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% | 19.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% | 32.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% | 68.71% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.07% |