Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4

May 1, 2021 at 6pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Casseres Jr (47'), Clark (64')
Davis (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sekulic (44'), Calvo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
49.56%	24.37%	26.07%

Both teams to score 54.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77%

47.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54%

69.46%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9%

19.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27%

50.73%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3%

68.71%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 49.55%

Chicago Fire 26.07%

Draw 24.37%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.55%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.07%