Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.