Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
31.15% ( -1.72) | 23.5% ( -0.45) | 45.35% ( 2.17) |
Both teams to score 61.52% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% ( 1.42) | 40.06% ( -1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% ( 1.45) | 62.43% ( -1.45) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0.35) | 24.99% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( -0.48) | 59.64% ( 0.48) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( 1.48) | 17.98% ( -1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.16% ( 2.47) | 48.84% ( -2.47) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.75% Total : 45.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |