We said: St Louis City 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
The Caps have fought hard in their road fixtures this season but have yet to find a way to kill a game off, which has proven costly.
Should Klauss return to the lineup, it would be a tremendous boost for St Louis, but even if he does not, they look a more confident side at home, and we believe they will get the job done on Saturday.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.