Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Earthquakes2 - 4Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
23
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 FC Cincinnati
Given their respective league positions, it sounds inconceivable that San Jose have scored more goals than Cincinnati this term but the former have struggled massively at the back. We expect an open and end-to-end clash here with the visitors narrowly edging out their hosts to claim all three points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
42.94% ( -0.06) | 24.39% ( -0.01) | 32.67% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.39% ( 0.07) | 43.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% ( 0.07) | 66% ( -0.07) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0) | 20.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.01) | 52.89% ( -0.01) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.08) | 25.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.27% ( 0.1) | 60.73% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes 42.94%
FC Cincinnati 32.67%
Draw 24.39%
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.67% |
How you voted: Earthquakes vs Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
21.1%Draw
21.1%FC Cincinnati
57.9%38
Form Guide
