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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Earthquakes
2 - 4
Cincinnati

Lopez (57'), Espinoza (72')
Lopez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bucha (54'), Kubo (78', 80', 87')
Kelsy (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 FC Cincinnati

Given their respective league positions, it sounds inconceivable that San Jose have scored more goals than Cincinnati this term but the former have struggled massively at the back. We expect an open and end-to-end clash here with the visitors narrowly edging out their hosts to claim all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawFC Cincinnati
42.94% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 24.39% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 32.67% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.04% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (0.07 0.07)43.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.067999999999998 0.07)66% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)52.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.076999999999998 0.08)25.78% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.105 0.1)60.73% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.94%
    FC Cincinnati 32.67%
    Draw 24.39%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 42.94%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.67%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Cincinnati

San Jose Earthquakes
21.1%
Draw
21.1%
FC Cincinnati
57.9%
38
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
May 5, 2019 3am
Gameweek 12
Earthquakes
1-0
Cincinnati
Lima (22')
Salinas (13'), Espinoza (15'), Lima (29')
Espinoza (51')

Stanko (6'), Lasso (31'), Alashe (67')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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8pm
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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