Major League Soccer

Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Barlow (90+17')
Fernandez (11'), Nealis (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Espinoza (80')
Rodrigues (24'), Judson (56'), Marie (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes may have made a decent start to the season, but it is still early days, and their terrible record at the Red Bull Arena cannot be ignored. As such, we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow 1-0 victory, which could act as a catalyst to kick-start their season after a very slow start.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
55.05% ( 1.15)	23.99% ( -0.34)	20.96% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39% (

0.42)

50.61% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48% (

0.37)

72.52% (

-0.37)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.59)

18.26% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

49.31% (

-1)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.3% (

-0.58)

38.7% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.56% (

-0.56)

75.44% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 55.03%

San Jose Earthquakes 20.96%

Draw 23.99%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.03%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.96%