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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Toronto FC

Earthquakes
0 - 0
Toronto


Marie (30')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 Toronto

Toronto seem to have a dependable centre-back pairing, but there does not appear to be much depth across the board, and that could present a problem this weekend with some key midfielders being away for the international break. We expect the Quakes to have a decided edge in the midfield and create enough scoring chances to eventually come out on top.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
58.03% (0.12200000000001 0.12) 21.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.42% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.095999999999997 0.1)63.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.071999999999989 0.07)13.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (0.136 0.14)41.14% (-0.131 -0.13)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 58.03%
    Toronto 20.42%
    Draw 21.54%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.42%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Toronto

San Jose Earthquakes
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Earthquakes
Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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