Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
BMO Field
Toronto1 - 2Chicago Fire
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
4
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
7
We said: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
These are the two worst defensive units in the Eastern Conference, with Toronto allowing eight goals thus far and the Fire just one fewer. Look for there to be plenty of chances on both sides Saturday, with the home crowd's energy helping the Reds claim their first victory of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
46.04% ( -0.22) | 25.09% ( -0.03) | 28.86% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( 0.26) | 48.45% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( 0.23) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.01) | 21.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.11% ( 0.01) | 53.88% ( -0.02) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( 0.31) | 30.73% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.01% ( 0.37) | 66.98% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 46.04%
Chicago Fire 28.86%
Draw 25.08%
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.86% |
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Form Guide
