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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
BMO Field
Chicago Fire

Toronto
vs.
Chicago Fire

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 28.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
46.73% (1.139 1.14) 25.13% (-0.296 -0.3) 28.14% (-0.84 -0.84)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.393 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (0.775 0.77)49.02% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (0.699 0.7)71.1% (-0.69600000000001 -0.7)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (0.827 0.83)21% (-0.825 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (1.275 1.28)53.78% (-1.273 -1.27)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)31.55% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.255 -0.25)67.95% (0.25699999999999 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.73%
    Chicago Fire 28.14%
    Draw 25.12%
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.115 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.14%

Who will win Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire?

Toronto
Draw
Chicago Fire
Toronto
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-1
Toronto
Dean (84')
Gimenez (17'), Acosta (58'), Czichos (90+1'), Omsberg (90+3')
Osei Owusu (45+4' pen.)
Osorio (45+11'), O'Neill (60'), Johnson (83')
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
Toronto
Duran (4', 16')
Mueller (45+1'), Gutierrez (64')

O'Neill (34'), MacNaughton (37'), Criscito (65'), Nelson (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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