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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
DC United

Toronto
1 - 3
DC United

Kerr (83')
Flores (65'), Kerr (77'), Laryea (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (67'), Badji (88'), Pirani (90+3')
Pirani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-4 Dallas
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 DC United

 We are not convinced that Toronto will be able to create many scoring opportunities on Saturday, given the key pieces out through suspension and the lack of depth when you go down their roster. As leaky as DC have been on the back end, Benteke and company should find a way through what has been an inconsistent Toronto backline in 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawDC United
51.17% (0.188 0.19) 22.88% (-0.112 -0.11) 25.95% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.309 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.443 0.44)40.63% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.453 0.45)63.01% (-0.458 -0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (0.22500000000001 0.23)16.01% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (0.416 0.42)45.34% (-0.421 -0.42)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (0.173 0.17)28.81% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.217 0.22)64.66% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 51.17%
    DC United 25.95%
    Draw 22.87%
TorontoDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.17%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.95%

How you voted: Toronto vs DC United

Toronto
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
DC United
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)
Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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