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National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
2 - 2
Tamworth

Stephenson (53'), Carroll (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willets (19'), Milnes (90+2' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawTamworth
24.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 25.35% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 49.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)52.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)74% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)36.08% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)72.86% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)20.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)53.72% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 24.73%
    Tamworth 49.91%
    Draw 25.34%
Farsley CelticDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.73%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 9.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 49.91%

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