National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City4 - 2Worthing
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Worthing.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
49
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Bath City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
70
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Worthing |
50.18% ( 0.37) | 23.7% ( -0.09) | 26.11% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
