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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Aldershot Town
National League | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
Wrexham AFC

Aldershot
3 - 4
Wrexham

Pendlebury (30'), Hutchinson (39'), Tunnicliffe (89' og.)
Mnoga (6')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mullin (7' pen., 23'), Jordan (35' og.), Dalby (90+6')
Dalby (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Aldershot Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Wrexham

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-2 Woking
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Aldershot Town 0-2 Wrexham

 While Wrexham did not manage to pick up all three points against Woking last time out, their recent record in the National League has otherwise been flawless, and they should have no trouble recording a comfortable victory on Saturday. The Shots have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, but in truth the majority of their wins have been against poor teams, and the Red Dragons will pose a far tougher test. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawWrexham
22.99% (0.029 0.03) 22.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 54.21% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)43.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)65.59% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)69.15%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)15.87% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)45.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 22.99%
    Wrexham 54.21%
    Draw 22.79%
Aldershot TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.99%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.21%

How you voted: Aldershot vs Wrexham

Aldershot Town
15.0%
Draw
5.0%
Wrexham
80.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
2-0
Aldershot
Mullin (28'), Jones (38')

Amaluzor (18')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-1
Aldershot
Mullin (35', 68'), Davies (49'), Palmer (57')
Young (61')
Phillips (90+2')
Daniel (42')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aldershot
0-5
Wrexham

Andrews (20'), Wagstaff (33'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (42')
Hayden (40'), Lennon (43'), Hall-Johnson (58'), Ponticelli (61'), Davies (68')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Aldershot
3-0
Wrexham
Nouble (26', 47'), Anderson (68')
Rees (45+3'), Colombie (77'), Panayiotou (84')

Hall-Johnson (39'), Reckord (45+1')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
Aldershot
Young (64')

Phillips (45+1'), Edser (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6Rochdale21113731191236
7AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
8Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
9Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth217592337-1426
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349
> National League Full Table


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