Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.14% ( -0.52) | 23.85% ( -0.03) | 30.01% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( 0.42) | 42.29% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( 0.42) | 64.7% ( -0.42) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.05) | 18.55% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% ( -0.08) | 49.79% ( 0.08) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( 0.58) | 26.81% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% ( 0.75) | 62.11% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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