Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood |
73.62% ( -0.09) | 15.56% ( 0.05) | 10.82% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.81% ( -0.12) | 32.19% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.21% ( -0.14) | 53.79% ( 0.14) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.5% ( -0.05) | 7.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.09% ( -0.12) | 26.91% ( 0.12) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.47% ( -0) | 40.53% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.87% ( -0) | 77.13% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood |
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 73.61% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.56% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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