Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for York City had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
47.82% ( -0.8) | 24.45% ( 0.23) | 27.73% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( -0.64) | 46.36% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( -0.61) | 68.65% ( 0.61) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% ( -0.58) | 19.47% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% ( -0.95) | 51.33% ( 0.95) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( 0.09) | 30.48% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( 0.11) | 66.69% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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