Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.