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National League | Gameweek 32
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadowbank
Southend United

Dorking
1 - 0
Southend

Bowerman (29')
Gallagher (62'), Moore (90+7'), Prior (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Southend United

Southend have won both of their previous two meetings with Dorking, but after losing their last six matches, we think that they may be content with picking up a point from Tuesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawSouthend United
25.28% (2.806 2.81) 23.19% (1.092 1.09) 51.52% (-3.901 -3.9)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (-2.054 -2.05)42.69% (2.051 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-2.074 -2.07)65.1% (2.07 2.07)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (1.227 1.23)30.42% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (1.434 1.43)66.63% (-1.437 -1.44)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-2.063 -2.06)16.64% (2.06 2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (-3.825 -3.83)46.48% (3.822 3.82)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 25.28%
    Southend United 51.52%
    Draw 23.19%
Dorking WanderersDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.547 0.55)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.715 0.72)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.53 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.294 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 25.28%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.447 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.414 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.525 -0.52)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.624 -0.62)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.6% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Dorking vs Southend

Dorking Wanderers
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Southend United
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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