Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.