Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.