Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.