Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Southend United |
25.03% ( -5.34) | 25.16% ( -1.43) | 49.81% ( 6.76) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.69% ( 2.56) | 51.31% ( -2.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( 2.2) | 73.13% ( -2.2) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.72% ( -2.84) | 35.27% ( 2.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% ( -3.08) | 72.02% ( 3.08) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( 4.2) | 20.61% ( -4.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.83% ( 6.23) | 53.16% ( -6.24) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -1.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.88) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -1.15) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.03% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.78) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 1.25) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.89) 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 1.14) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.54) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.62) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.6% Total : 49.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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