Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
63.96% (![]() | 19.89% (![]() | 16.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% (![]() | 40.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% (![]() | 62.6% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.08% (![]() | 11.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.73% (![]() | 37.26% (![]() |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% (![]() | 38.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% (![]() | 74.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
2-0 @ 10.24% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 3.82% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.32% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.51% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 40 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 33 | 51 | 91 |
2 | York City | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 80 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 75 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 63 |
6 | Rochdale | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 60 |
7 | Gateshead | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 57 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 59 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Tamworth | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 57 |
11 | Eastleigh | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 53 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 52 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 52 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 51 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 50 |
16 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 48 |
18 | Woking | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 45 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 43 |
20 | Boston UnitedBoston | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 43 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 42 |
22 | Fylde | 39 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 39 |
23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 38 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 19 |
> National League Full Table |