Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
63.96% ( 0.05) | 19.89% ( -0.04) | 16.14% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% ( 0.14) | 40.23% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% ( 0.14) | 62.6% ( -0.14) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.08% ( 0.05) | 11.92% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.73% ( 0.12) | 37.26% ( -0.12) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% ( 0.06) | 38.01% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( 0.06) | 74.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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