Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
63.19% ( 0.01) | 20.61% ( -0.13) | 16.2% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.59% ( 0.78) | 43.41% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% ( 0.76) | 65.8% ( -0.77) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( 0.24) | 13.1% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.27% ( 0.5) | 39.73% ( -0.5) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.12% ( 0.63) | 39.88% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.46% ( 0.57) | 76.54% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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