Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 82.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 4.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.68%) and 1-0 (12.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
