Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.
