UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bulgaria
2 - 5
Georgia

Iliev (50'), Avramov Stefanov (83')
Despodov (31'), Hristov (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Davitashvili (4'), Hristov (31' og.), Zivzivadze (52'), Kvaratskhelia (58' pen.), Qazaishvili (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

Last Six:

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Georgia

Last Six:

Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Although Georgia find themselves heading to Bulgaria on the back of some fine form in recent months, Sunday's Nations League clash could well prove to be a difficult encounter to come away with a win from. The hosts are a difficult side to beat on their day, and they will find hope in the 4-1 victory in this fixture during a friendly back in September, but we can see the two nations cancelling each other and taking a share of the points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Georgia
40.37% ( -0.05)	24.76% ( 0.02)	34.87% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.35% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.22% (

-0.07)

44.79% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.86% (

-0.06)

67.15% (

0.07)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86% (

-0.05)

22.15% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

-0.08)

55.53% (

0.08)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.01)

25.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.02)

59.73% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 40.37%

Georgia 34.87%

Draw 24.76%

Bulgaria	Draw	Georgia
2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.87%