MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:12:01| >> :600:162620:162620:
Israel national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bozsik Stadion
France national football team

Israel
1 - 4
France

Gandelman (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Camavinga (7'), Nkunku (28'), Guendouzi (87'), Barcola (89')
Camavinga (18')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Thursday's Nations League clash between Israel and France.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Israel and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Israel in League A Group 2.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Israel had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Israel win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
IsraelDrawFrance
19.98% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 23.11% (0.119 0.12) 56.91% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (-0.593 -0.59)48.19% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.547 -0.55)70.35% (0.55 0.55)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)38.34% (0.425 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.409 -0.41)75.09% (0.413 0.41)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.224 -0.22)16.71% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (-0.405 -0.41)46.6% (0.409 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Israel 19.99%
    France 56.91%
    Draw 23.1%
IsraelDrawFrance
1-0 @ 6.14% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.27% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 19.99%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 10.25% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 56.91%

How you voted: Israel vs France

Israel
12.4%
Draw
6.9%
France
80.7%
218
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