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Italy national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Belgium national football team

Italy
vs.
Belgium

Coverage of the Nations League League A clash between Italy and Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Belgium has a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Belgium win it is 0-1 (5.84%).

Result
ItalyDrawBelgium
60.11% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65) 22.49% (-0.07 -0.07) 17.4% (0.723 0.72)
Both teams to score 48.74% (1.618 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.63% (1.419 1.42)49.36% (-1.419 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (1.263 1.26)71.41% (-1.262 -1.26)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (0.271 0.27)16.02% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.64% (0.494 0.49)45.36% (-0.491 -0.49)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (1.746 1.75)41.96% (-1.745 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (1.481 1.48)78.4% (-1.479 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    Italy 60.1%
    Belgium 17.4%
    Draw 22.49%
ItalyDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 11.27% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.166 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.086 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.398 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.217 0.22)
0-2 @ 2.54% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 17.4%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2021 2pm
Third-Place Final
Italy
2-1
Belgium
Barella (46'), Berardi (65' pen.)
Di Lorenzo (30'), Palmieri (82')
De Ketelaere (86')
Vertonghen (14'), Witsel (56'), Alderweireld (63')
Jul 2, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Belgium
1-2
Italy
Lukaku (45+2' pen.)
Tielemans (21')
Barella (31'), Insigne (44')
Verratti (20'), Berardi (90')
Jun 13, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
0-2
Italy

Vertonghen (91')
Giaccherini (32'), Pelle (93')
Chiellini (66'), Eder (75'), Bonucci (78'), Motta (84')
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
3-1
Italy
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool65011221015
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