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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Portugal national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Denmark national football team

Portugal
vs.
Denmark

Coverage of the Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between Portugal and Denmark.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Denmark vs. Portugal
Wednesday, March 19 at 11pm in Nations League

Denmark

All competitions
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Denmark
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Denmark vs. Portugal
Wednesday, March 19 at 11pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Denmark has a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Denmark win it is 0-1 (4.8%).

Result
PortugalDrawDenmark
63.86%20.53%15.61%
Both teams to score 51.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82%44.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44%66.56%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86%13.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.18%39.82%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34%77.66%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 63.85%
    Denmark 15.61%
    Draw 20.53%
PortugalDrawDenmark
2-0 @ 11.12%
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63.85%
1-1 @ 9.75%
0-0 @ 5.41%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.53%
0-1 @ 4.8%
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.3%
1-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 15.61%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2025
11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Denmark  
D
vs.
P
   Portugal
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Portugal
1-0
Denmark
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Denmark
0-1
Portugal
Ronaldo (95')
Ronaldo (92')
> Match Report
Jun 13, 2012 5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
2-3
Portugal
rhs 2.0
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