Nations League | League B
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Naţională
Romania1 - 1Northern Ireland
Reaction
Ian Baraclough: 'Players gave everything against Romania'
Ian Baraclough collected a point in his first game in charge.
Sep 5, 10:52
Ian Baraclough: 'Romania draw feels like a win for Northern Ireland'
Northern Ireland had Josh Magennis sent off.
Sep 4, 23:43
The Match
Match Report
Gavin Whyte's late header earned 10 men a point from an unlikely draw in Bucharest.
Team News
Ian Baraclough is already without Sunderland defender Tom Flanagan.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Romania and Northern Ireland, including team news and injury news.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 50.91% | 25.78% | 23.31% |
| Both teams to score 47.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
