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Leicester logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
King Power Stadium
Newcastle logo

Leicester
4 - 0
Newcastle

Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leicester City play host to Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon having dropped into the bottom half of the Premier League standings, a consequence of winning just one of their last six games.

Meanwhile, Newcastle moved to within three points of safety last weekend after edging out Burnley, their first victory since the appointment of Eddie Howe.


Match preview

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers on October 16, 2021© Reuters

On the back of last season's performances, occupying a place in the bottom half of the table and an early exit from the Europa League seemed highly unlikely for a team on Leicester's upward trajectory.

However, the Foxes have struggled for consistency since the beginning of the campaign, and Brendan Rodgers faces a fight to get his team back on track during the winter period.

Thursday's 3-2 defeat at Napoli has left Leicester with Europa Conference League football in February, a competition that Rodgers seemingly does not hold in high regard based on his comments on Thursday.

Nevertheless, his sole focus over the coming weeks will be attempting to move Leicester up the Premier League table, their current standing of 11th position a result of five points coming from six games.

Despite still making an impact in the final third, their goal threat has often being undermined by their efforts in defence, Leicester having now conceded at least twice in their last four top-flight games.

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe pictured in November 2021© Reuters

Such a statistic will only offer encouragement to a Newcastle side who seem to be on the right track under Howe, regardless of dropped points during a favourable home schedule.

That said, five points have still come from games against Brentford, Norwich City and Burnley, the latest result coming by a 1-0 scoreline courtesy of a goal from Callum Wilson.

The Magpies ended a run of 14 games without a league win in the process, and there is now genuine optimism among the group that they can go to the King Power Stadium and collect maximum points.

Newcastle do possess the worst away record in the division, posting just three points from seven games, but draws at Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion are still fresh in the memory.

Leicester City Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Leicester City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Newcastle United Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Leicester City's Jamie Vardy during training, November 24, 2021© Reuters

With several players missing due to coronavirus and illness, Rodgers will likely have to choose from the Leicester players who featured in the squad versus Napoli.

Having played 90 minutes, Jamie Vardy could drop out for Patson Daka, while Boubakary Soumare may be brought into the side to strengthen the midfield.

Luke Thomas is also in line to return at left-back after remaining as an unused substitute on Thursday night.

While Howe will give consideration to selecting the same Newcastle XI from last weekend, he may choose a more cautious approach.

A more defensively-minded player could line up on the flank, such as Matt Ritchie or Jacob Murphy, with Miguel Almiron potentially dropping out of the team.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Castagne, Evans, Soyuncu, Thomas; Ndidi, Tielemans, Soumare; Maddison, Daka, Barnes

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Manquillo, Schar, Lascelles, Lewis; Murphy, Shelvey, Willock, Saint-Maximan; Joelinton, Wilson


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 3-2 Newcastle United

Both teams are far stronger in attack than they are defence, and that should only lead to an entertaining fixture at the King Power Stadium. While we expect the Magpies to lead at some stage, the Foxes have the firepower to edge this contest in the closing stages.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:472480:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9144:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Leicester vs Newcastle

Leicester City
69.9%
Draw
17.0%
Newcastle United
13.1%
206
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Allan Saint-Maximin celebrates scoring for Newcastle United on October 3, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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