NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
Ballymena3 - 0Carrick
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Glenavon | 38 | 4 | 54 |
| 7 | Ballymena United | 38 | -6 | 53 |
| 8 | Coleraine | 38 | 10 | 51 |
Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Carrick
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dungannon Swifts | 38 | -40 | 35 |
| 10 | Carrick Rangers | 38 | -26 | 34 |
| 11 | Portadown | 38 | -43 | 25 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 57.93% | 22.52% | 19.54% |
| Both teams to score 52.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
