Carrick
3 - 4
Glenavon

Anderson (45+2'), Loughran (52' pen., 70')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Coates (3'), McCloskey (13'), Campbell (54'), O'Connor (56' pen.)
McNulty (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glenavon
30.3%	24.63%	45.07%

Both teams to score 57.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33%

45.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01%

67.99%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69%

28.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97%

64.03%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.65%

20.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.25%

52.75%

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 30.3%

Glenavon 45.07%

Draw 24.62%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 7.3% 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.07%