Crusaders
1 - 3
Carrick

Lowry (78')
Forsythe (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frazer (11', 50'), Loughran (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Carrick Rangers
70.7%	17.65%	11.65%

Both teams to score 49.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.85%

40.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.48%

62.52%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.86%

10.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.66%

33.34%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.51%

44.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.48%

80.52%

Score Analysis

Crusaders 70.69%

Carrick Rangers 11.65%

Draw 17.65%

Crusaders	Draw	Carrick Rangers
2-0 @ 11.81% 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.96% 5-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.69% 6-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.51% Total : 70.69%	1-1 @ 8.36% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 17.65%	0-1 @ 3.65% 1-2 @ 3.39% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.18% Total : 11.65%