Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 71.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.55%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Glentoran in this match.