Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
