Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
