Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.