MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 16:07:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 2
Linfield

McGuckin (82')
Forsythe (68'), Macuilaitis (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Forsythe (61' og.), McClean (71')
Clarke (36'), East (39'), Mulgrew (90+6')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 3-4 Carrick
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLinfield
19.23% (2.452 2.45) 22.83% (1.721 1.72) 57.94% (-4.167 -4.17)
Both teams to score 51% (-0.87 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (-3.506 -3.51)48.05% (3.512 3.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (-3.305 -3.31)70.22% (3.31 3.31)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (0.774 0.77)39.07% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (0.717 0.72)75.79% (-0.712 -0.71)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-2.517 -2.52)16.3% (2.523 2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.13% (-4.776 -4.78)45.87% (4.78 4.78)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 19.23%
    Linfield 57.93%
    Draw 22.82%
Carrick RangersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.934 0.93)
2-1 @ 5.1% (0.494 0.49)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.488 0.49)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 19.23%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.84 0.84)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.879 0.88)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.68 0.68)
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.34% (-0.788 -0.79)
1-3 @ 5.96% (-0.601 -0.6)
0-4 @ 2.87% (-0.657 -0.66)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.548 -0.55)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-5 @ 1.04% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.308 -0.31)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 57.93%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Linfield
3-3
Carrick
Shields (26' pen.), Clarke (34'), Hall (75')
Scott (63'), Cooper (65')
Cushley (19'), Purkis (36', 81')
Crowe (45+4'), Cushley (52'), Andrews (59'), Allen (65'), Glendinning (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Vertainen (55'), McClean (76')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Linfield
3-1
Carrick
Vertainen (2', 28'), McDaid (90+2')
Tilney (80')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
2-1
Linfield
Mitchell (14'), McGuckin (64')
(30'), Cushley (41'), Mitchell (56'), Cherry (81')
Devine (53')
Roscoe (39'), Vertainen (42'), Cooper (69'), (90+1')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Carrick
1-2
Linfield
Gibson (69')
Glendinning (28'), Cushley (51'), (73')
Scully (3' og.), McKee (36')
(62'), (84'), (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon11623168820
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne842296314
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


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