Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
47.69% ( 0.09)	25.17% ( 0.03)	27.14% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16% (

-0.21)

49.84% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0.19)

71.84% (

0.19)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.05)

20.92% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

-0.07)

53.65% (

0.07)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.2)

32.76% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

-0.23)

69.31% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 47.69%

Dungannon Swifts 27.14%

Draw 25.17%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.14%