NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Solitude
Cliftonville4 - 0Carrick
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Coleraine
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
Result | ||
Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
50.91% ( -0.11) | 25.25% ( 0.09) | 23.83% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.33% ( -0.33) | 52.67% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -0.28) | 74.31% ( 0.28) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( -0.18) | 20.7% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% ( -0.28) | 53.3% ( 0.28) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.91% ( -0.16) | 37.08% ( 0.16) |