MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:34:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 0
Carrick

Kelly (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 2-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Glenavon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ballymena United in this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
43.93% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 27.02% (0.038 0.04) 29.06% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-0.128 -0.13)56.05% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.105 -0.11)77.13% (0.107 0.11)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)25.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.125 -0.13)60.13% (0.127 0.13)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)34.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)71.27% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 43.92%
    Carrick Rangers 29.06%
    Draw 27.01%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.06%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Carrick
1-0
Ballymena
Macuilaitis (28')

Wilson (43')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Carrick
0-2
Ballymena
Wilson (73'), Graham (87')
Whiteside (40')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 7
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick
Cushley (52')
Ervin (12')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 4
Ballymena
3-0
Carrick
Parkhouse (6'), Surgenor (8' og.), Millar (25')
Strain (43')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
4Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
6ColeraineColeraine177462822625
7PortadownPortadown167452317625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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