MX23RW : Saturday, March 22 12:56:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 1
Ballymena

Barr (13' og.), Blaney (21'), O'Rourke (90')
(14'), Barr (29'), Lowry (33'), Smith (51'), Forsythe (60'), (76'), Stewart (86'), Franklin (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McEleney (23' pen.)
Edogun (31'), Loughran (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-2 Linfield
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
54.1% (0.257 0.26) 23.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.29% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.245 -0.25)47.49% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.226 -0.23)69.7% (0.226 0.23)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.46% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)47.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.36999999999999 -0.37)35.63% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (-0.382 -0.38)72.4% (0.38300000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 54.09%
    Ballymena United 22.29%
    Draw 23.6%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.09%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 22.29%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crusaders
1-0
Ballymena
Offord (65')
Clarke (53'), Weir (88'), Franklin (90+4')

McMurray (20'), Scott (31'), Nelson (77')
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Ballymena
0-1
Crusaders

O'Donnell (31'), McMurray (47')
Offord (5')
Weir (19'), Larmour (76')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Ballymena
2-4
Crusaders
Nelson (18'), Taylor (28')
McCullough (8'), Nelson (81'), Taylor (85')
Lecky (11'), Kennedy (67'), Heatley (71'), O'Rourke (74')
Clarke (54'), Lecky (59')
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
1-0
Ballymena
Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')

McCullough (76')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield32234558233573
2GlentoranGlentoran32159840301054
3LarneLarne32149938281051
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon32155124437750
5CrusadersCrusaders32145134043-347
6ColeraineColeraine321210104841746
7PortadownPortadown32137123937246
8CliftonvilleCliftonville32127134137443
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena32134153940-143
10GlenavonGlenavon32109133542-739
11Carrick RangersCarrick3269172445-2127
12Loughgall3236232770-4315


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