MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:55:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
0 - 2
Larne


Joe Burns (26'), O'Rourke (34'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomson (45+1'), Millar (82')
Bonis (29'), Orozco (58'), Ryan (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Linfield
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
26.96% (4.302 4.3) 24.96% (0.749 0.75) 48.09% (-5.047 -5.05)
Both teams to score 53.72% (2.03 2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (0.568 0.57)49.06% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (0.511 0.51)71.13% (-0.506 -0.51)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (4.001 4)32.48% (-3.998 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (4.263 4.26)69.01% (-4.257 -4.26)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.813 -1.81)20.43% (1.818 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.967 -2.97)52.88% (2.972 2.97)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 26.96%
    Larne 48.09%
    Draw 24.95%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.616 0.62)
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.859 0.86)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.743 0.74)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.547 0.55)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.343 0.34)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.413 0.41)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.412 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-1.228 -1.23)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.442 -0.44)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.948 -0.95)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 48.09%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Crusaders
0-3
Larne

Larmour (6'), Joe Burns (63'), O'Rourke (67')
Joe Burns (68')
Ryan (47', 68'), Bonis (53')
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Larne
1-1
Crusaders
Ives (63')
Donnelly (35'), Want (47')
Kennedy (80')
Anderson (45'), Heatley (51')
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
0-2
Larne
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Lowry (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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