Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
