Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City Under-23s in this match.
