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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Brighton

Bamford (40'), Harrison (78')
Firpo (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mac Allister (33'), March (61')
Caicedo (83')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United twice come from behind to draw 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.8% (0.417 0.42) 22.98% (0.173 0.17) 51.21% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)41.26% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.419 -0.42)63.66% (0.418 0.42)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.101 0.1)29.26% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.125 0.13)65.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)16.22% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.65199999999999 -0.65)45.73% (0.651 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%
    Draw 22.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
17.2%
Draw
11.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
71.3%
157
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brighton
1-0
Leeds
Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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