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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Brighton

Bamford (40'), Harrison (78')
Firpo (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mac Allister (33'), March (61')
Caicedo (83')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United twice come from behind to draw 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.8% (0.417 0.42) 22.98% (0.173 0.17) 51.21% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)41.26% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.419 -0.42)63.66% (0.418 0.42)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.101 0.1)29.26% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.125 0.13)65.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)16.22% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.65199999999999 -0.65)45.73% (0.651 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%
    Draw 22.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
17.2%
Draw
11.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
71.3%
157
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brighton
1-0
Leeds
Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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