Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea in this match.