Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.