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FA Cup
Fulham logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leeds logo

Fulham
2 - 0
Leeds

Palhinha (21'), Solomon (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Wolves
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Leeds United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 2-1 Leeds United

 This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, but it is difficult to know exactly what to expect when two Premier League sides meet at this stage of the FA Cup. Both managers will make changes, but Fulham's squad is arguably stronger, so we are backing the home side to secure a spot in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeeds United
46.27% (0.921 0.92) 23.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 29.86% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (-0.311 -0.31)42.43% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.308 -0.31)64.84% (0.309 0.31)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.253 0.25)18.55% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.427 0.43)49.79% (-0.428 -0.43)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (-0.732 -0.73)26.98% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (-0.968 -0.97)62.33% (0.966 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 46.27%
    Leeds United 29.86%
    Draw 23.86%
FulhamDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.86%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leeds

Fulham
71.8%
Draw
14.4%
Leeds United
13.9%
216
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Leeds
2-3
Fulham
Rodrigo (20'), Summerville (90+1')
Cooper (39')
Mitrovic (26'), Reid (74'), Willian (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Fulham
0-0
Leeds
 Leeds win 6-5 on penalties

Summerville (67'), Bielsa (75')
Mar 19, 2021 8pm
Fulham
1-2
Leeds
Andersen (38')
Lemina (51'), Loftus-Cheek (90+2')
Bamford (29'), Raphinha (58')
Bamford (31'), Phillips (90+4')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Leeds
4-3
Fulham
Costa (5', 57'), Klich (41' pen.), Bamford (50')
Klich (82')
Mitrovic (34' pen., 67'), Reid (62')
Mitrovic (88'), Tete (90')
Jun 27, 2020 3pm
Leeds
3-0
Fulham
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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